Is this buying a short term future and a long term disaster? Is this just the politics the progressives to keep the economy moving forward until the 2014 elections? What happens when the fed pulls the plug on the QE program? Remember what happened when the chairman raised an eye brow when asked when he would just start to pull back on the program, the market fell 200 points. What do you think will happen when the program stops altogether?
Why not solve the problem now when it's just bad drag on growth rather then a catastrophic event on the entire country down the road? But on second thought one of the real functions of a good politician is being able to recognize a real problem and then to let other solve it at a later date.
The real politician will not be burdened with the problems of less individuals, they are busy visiting the treasury looking to scrape together any loose change laying around from the taxpayers that will sustain themselves in the future.
Beware the Monetary Cliff
November 12, 2013
Unlike the U.S. fiscal cliff, which was largely defused by congressional action, the U.S. monetary cliff -- which will be reached if U.S. inflation rates turn negative -- cannot be easily circumvented. Because the United States is the largest economy in the world, U.S. deflation would be exported to the rest of the world, says John H. Makin, a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute.
The Fed, under Chairman Bernanke and soon-to-be chairman Yellen, can do three things to reduce the risk of going over the deflationary monetary cliff.
First, the Fed should temper its complacency about the possibility of further disinflation and deflation.
Avoiding a self-reinforcing deflationary spiral should be a clearly articulated objective of the Yellen Fed.
Source: John H. Makin, "Beware the Monetary Cliff," American Enterprise Institute, October 28, 2013.
The Fed, under Chairman Bernanke and soon-to-be chairman Yellen, can do three things to reduce the risk of going over the deflationary monetary cliff.
First, the Fed should temper its complacency about the possibility of further disinflation and deflation.
- If disinflation persists and the Fed's favorite inflation measure, the core personal consumption expenditures, drops below 1.0 percent (it is currently at 1.2 percent), then the Fed should restate the desirability of boosting inflation and underscore efforts to achieve that goal.
- Perhaps signaling a possible increase in quantitative easing rather than another hint of tapering will be required.
- Currently, the Fed talks about a 2 percent inflation target, with any significant rise above that level leading to Fed tightening. The Fed would do well to reinforce the symmetry of its goal with respect to the behavior of inflation.
- The Fed could highlight its long-run commitment to avoid inflation, along with its desire to avoid deflation, by specifying a target range of around 0.5 percent to 1.5 percent for inflation.
Avoiding a self-reinforcing deflationary spiral should be a clearly articulated objective of the Yellen Fed.
Source: John H. Makin, "Beware the Monetary Cliff," American Enterprise Institute, October 28, 2013.
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