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Could the Detroit Crisis Happen to the Rest of the United States?
Source: Kate Rogers, "Detroit's Fallout: How Safe Are Other Municipal and City Pensions?" FOX Business News, July 24, 2013.
July 31, 2013
Detroit labor union workers and current retirees were dealt a blow recently when a U.S. bankruptcy judge ruled that the city's debt restructuring could continue on and bring changes to their pensions, says FOX Business News.
"Its economic growth and tax revenues are pretty slim right now," she says. "But overall, the default rate for city pensions is pretty low; it's historically been about 1 percent."
That being said, Villarreal points out that the Congressional Budget Office reports state and city pensions are at their lowest funding levels in more than two decades. She claims that a bankruptcy that would disrupt pension plans as is being seen in Detroit would be unlikely, but it's not impossible.
- In 2009, Detroit's pensions were 93 percent funded, according to the Pew Institute, compared to other cities like Providence, Rhode Island, which was only 42 percent funded.
- Pension data often lags, but the Pew study is the most up-to-date information.
- Its total pension obligations for the city's 21,000 retirees are an estimated $9 billion in unfunded liabilities.
- Of that $9 billion, $5.7 billion is tied to health care benefits for workers.
- Some of the worst-funded pension systems, where participants are paying into the program but the state isn't necessarily meeting its obligations, include Illinois, California, New Jersey and New York.
- For a city like Detroit, which has lost more than half its population in the past 50 years, raising taxes isn't as much of an option, and relying on the local economy to offset costs is also unlikely.
"Its economic growth and tax revenues are pretty slim right now," she says. "But overall, the default rate for city pensions is pretty low; it's historically been about 1 percent."
That being said, Villarreal points out that the Congressional Budget Office reports state and city pensions are at their lowest funding levels in more than two decades. She claims that a bankruptcy that would disrupt pension plans as is being seen in Detroit would be unlikely, but it's not impossible.
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