Saturday, October 19, 2013

Hydrofracking : Energy Independence for America ( Final Insallment)

This is the final installment of the report on Hydrofracking from it's discovery and to how it has developed to be one of the most beneficial discoveries for our country in memory. The development and the wide spread implementation of fracking has and will be a turning point in world for fossil energy which has the potential, in turn, how people everywhere will have the potential to change how they live and prosper.

To deny this new source of discovery and extraction of fossil energy is to deny individual freedom and the right to ones choice for prosperity or poverty. The agenda of the progressive socialists that are now energized to stop fracking with false claims of environmental destruction are the same ones they used against nuclear and coal power energy generation. 'Stop now or we will all die'.

The historical scientific facts, not the consensus of politicians and the media, surrounding these energy resources proved their impact on the environment has been minimal, if not nonexistent. Yet, the forces of control want to stop this new discovery that will bring untold prosperity to the nation and the world, but it's not stopped, it will diminish the ability of those forces, progressive socialists, to control human behavior and outcomes to meet the demands of their agenda which is forced world wide socialism.
The Economic Impact of Hydrofracking On The US and the World
by Darrell Mattheis

It would be hard to overestimate the economic, impact of hydraulic fracturing technology on the US economy.

US crude oil output grew by the largest margin in U.S. history in 2012, the latest sign of how the US energy boom is remaking the global oil market.

Use of the word REVOLUTION would not be out of place! The shale gas boom has reduced the cost of natural gas per million cubic Feet (MCF) by more than 60% over the last five years.

 On October 3, 2013 the "Wall Street Journal" reported that the US is poised to overtake Russia as the worlds largest oil and gas producer.

 US imports of natural gas and crude oil have fallen 32% and 15% respectively in the last five years, reducing the US trade deficit.

Nations that rely on selling petroleum for their economic strength have seen their market power erode.  More than 40% of Russia's budget comes from oil and gas related duties and taxes.

It has been predicted that Russian oil exports could fall by 25% to 30% after 2015, reducing gross domestic product by more than $100 billion.

However, Russia is believed to have one of the world's largest untapped oil bearing shale formations, which means that once Russia catches-up with hydraulic fracturing technology, it has the potential to regain its place as the world's largest producer and exporter of petroleum products.

Giant energy companies are proposing half a trillion dollars in projects to export North American natural gas, which has led to a movement in the US to strictly limit exports of US natural gas.

 Gazprom, the company at the heart of Russian Prime Minister Putin's energy politics is finding that cheap natural gas in the US, (along with the EPA's elimination of new coal burning generating plants) has lowered the price of coal exports, and now European countries, once under the thumb of Russia and Gazprom, are buying cheap US coal, and purchasing less (expensive and unreliable) Russian natural gas.

 The amount of crude produced from two of the hottest energy plays in the U.S., the Bakken oil field in North Dakota and the Eagle Ford shale formation in Texas, continues to rise rapidly, along with estimates of total reserves in those two fields.

The EIA (US Energy Information Agency) predicts that the U.S. will overtake Saudi Arabia and Russia to become the world's largest global oil producer by 2017.

 The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts the U.S. will be essentially energy independent by 2030.  The U.S., which currently imports about 20% of its total energy needs will become all but self-sufficient in net terms.  Oil imports into the U.S. will plunge from 10 million barrels a day to 4 million barrels a day in ten years. 

 The biggest losers?  The green movement! The hydrofracking revolution is creating high paying jobs for Americans and reducing our reliance on unfriendly and unreliable sources of oil from nations like Venezuela and Nigeria.

 As more U.S. states benefit from the energy boom, and more investment goes to industries that depend on reliable domestic sources, energy friendly policies will have more political friends in the American political system.

 Higher domestic production is creating substantial tax revenues for local, state and federal levels of government.  Politicians are going to have a vested interest in keeping that money coming in, just as interest groups that benefit from government spending will not want environmentalists messing with their revenue source.

 The IEA predicts that the U.S. will become a net oil exporter by about 2035.  But that does not mean that oil will be cheap!

 European Industry Flocks To Cheap U.S. Gas
A widening chasm between energy prices in the U.S. and Europe has European industry scrambling to make emigration plans. 

 U.S. natural gas prices have fallen to a quarter of those in Europe, a gap that has swiftly widened in the past three years as the shale gas revolution has accelerated.

Energy intensive industries such as steel and chemicals are particularly affected because they use natural gas both as a raw material and a power source. 

 Many analysts say that these industries are simply the vanguard of a broader shift because the shale boom has given an advantage to all U.S. based manufacturing through lower gas and electricity prices.

As billions of dollars pour into the U.S., the outflow from Europe is costing jobs and weighing on decisions about ambitious and expensive green-friendly policies

 Gas prices in Asia are even higher than in Europe, further channeling investment to the U.S. The differentials in the costs are just so big that it's driving new investment to the US.

 Top BASF officials warn that if Europe continues with its current environmental and energy policies, a chain reaction will eventually send more and more production to America.  As one company after another moves, their suppliers will also be forced to relocate.

 A growing number of European manufacturers have announced plans to invest in the USA.  Austrian steelmaker Voestalpine, last month announced that it would build an iron-ore processing plant in Texas to take advantage of low energy prices. 

 The plant will cost $715 million and create 150 full-time jobs.  The company aims to almost double its total turnover by 2020, largely through U.S. expansion and it has mostly abandoned making any major new investments in Europe.

 Royal Dutch Shell announced plans to build a multibillion dollar petrochemical plant in Pennsylvania that will employ several hundred full-time workers as well as up to 10,000 people during construction.

 Shale Gas & Oil Production Is Driving A Manufacturing Renaissance

A report released September 4, 2013 by IHS, an international energy consultancy, titled America's New Energy Future: The Unconventional Oil and Gas Revolution and the U.S. Economy predicts that American manufacturers best days are ahead, and that the shale revolution could spur economic growth and job creation for years to come.

 Highlights of the IHS report include:

The combined upstream, midstream and downstream unconventional oil and gas production process, and the chemical industry benefiting from it, will support more than 467,000 combined manufacturing jobs by 2020 rising to nearly 515,000 by 2025.

Unconventional oil and gas activity supports more than 2.1 million total jobs.  by 2025  this number will reach nearly 3.9 million

Unconventional oil and gas activity increased disposable income by an average of $1,200 per U.S. household in 2012.  This figure is expected to grow to just more than $2,000 by 2015 and reach more than $3,500 by 2025.

The unconventional oil and gas value chain added $284 billion, in contributions to the GDP in 2012.  This number is expected to increase to $468 billion by 2020 and $533 billion by 2025.

 The Trade Deficit is dropping. Driven by a rise in domestic production and manufacturing, imports are being displaced,  creatlng a favorable export position for these industries. The trade deficit will be reduced by more than $164 billion by 2020

 Fracking and the Poor

One of the biggest benefits from fracking and other innovative drilling technologies is the windfall to American consumers, particularly the poor.

 A new study by the Colorado-based energy broker, Mercator Energy quantifies the multibillion annual savings to American households through lower utility bills from the fall in the price of natural gas.

From 2003-2008 the price of natural gas averaged about $7.20 per million BTU.  By 2012, the increase in natural gas production had brought the price down to $2.80 per million BTU.

The Mercator study found that the income group helped most by this drop in the price of energy is the poor, because energy is a bigger component of their budgets. 

 Poor households spend four times more of their income on home energy (10.4%) than do non poor households, (2.6%)

 Federal Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP). gives energy assistance to roughly 40 million American households, (36%)  At the same time, unconventional drilling technologies have shaved about$10 billion from the utility bills of poor families/

 To put it another way fracking is a more effective anti-poverty program than LIHEAP.  In 2012 LIHEAP provided about $3.5 billion to nine million low-income households, but fracking saved poor households almost three times more!  Low gas prices benefit nearly all poor households, while LIHEAP benefits fewer than one in four.

Conclusions
The spread and application of the technologies associated with unconventional oil and natural gas production have had an astoundingly positive impact on the economy of the US.

Ten years ago natural gas was expensive, in short supply, and U.S. production in decline.  Today, the price of natural gas has dropped 60% and it is a glut on the market.

 Ten years ago companies in the US were investing in natural gas import terminals.  Today those terminals are being reconfigured into export terminals.

 Ten years ago the U.S. worried about interruptions in our supply of oil and gas from unstable middle-East countries. Today the IEA has declared that U.S. has become the world's largest producer of petroleum products.

 Ten years ago manufacturing industries in the U.S. were re-locating overseas because of better opportunities.  Today industries from Europe and Asia are re-locating to the US to take advantage of significantly lower energy prices.

 Ten years ago jobs in manufacturing were being lost at an alarming rate.  Today unconventional oil and gas technology supports 2.1 million total jobs, and by 2020 will support more than 460,000 combined manufacturing jobs

Ten years ago, US average household income was declining.  Today, unconventional oil and gas activity has increased disposable income by an average of $1,200 per household.

 Adding icing to the economic cake, this tremendous economic turn-around has been achieved with virtually no assistance from the federal government.

And, in spite of, vociferous, opposition from environmentalists, the economic miracle that is unconventional oil and gas production, has been achieved with no essentially no negative impacts on the environment.

Unfortunately, the continuation of this economic miracle is not a foregone conclusion. Overreach by state and federal lawmakers and regulators could slow, and in worst case, stop it!

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