Sunday, August 16, 2015

Exports of Fossil Energy Brings Wealth and Prosperity : Progressives Stonewall

This subject keeps coming up as the election comes closer and the question of the Keystone pipeline is still not approved after 7 years of study. The absurd claim from the White House is they need further study of the fossil energy expansion and how it will effect the environment and the world markets.

The reality of this claim from the White House that they need more study is nonsense and is strictly based on politics and ideology. The head scratcher here is, the environmental lob is very small, so why does Mr Obama and the progressives socialists democrats invest so much political capital in this effort to stop expansion of fossil energy?

What's the advantage? Is this strictly the ideology of population control by destroying the fossil energy industry and demanding renewables like solar and wind that cannot provide for the energy needs of the population? Without ever increasing energy production, what happens to prosperity?

Crude Oil Export Restrictions
 Source:  Frank Rusco, "Crude Oil Export Restrictions," United States Government Accountability Office, July 8, 2015.

August 14, 2015

The Government Accountability Office (GAO) suggests that removing crude oil export restrictions could both reduce consumer fuel prices and increase the price of U.S. crude oil from ~$2 to ~$8 per barrel.

Regulations implemented 40 years ago are being reviewed as technological advances in the extraction of crude oil from shale formations, commonly known as fracking, have contributed to increased U.S. oil production.  In recent years U.S. crude oil prices have been lower than international prices but removing export restrictions could generate more revenue for oil companies and cause international crude oil prices to decrease.

If, as estimated, international crude oil prices do decrease, consumers could see anywhere from 1.5 cents to 13 cents per gallon drop for refined oil products such as gasoline and diesel.  However, experts cautioned that estimates of the price implications of removing export restrictions are subject to uncertainties and there could be important regional differences.

Additionally, removing crude oil export restrictions would:
  • Lead to increased investment in crude oil production and increases in employment. This could result in additional positive effects for employment and government revenue.
  • Estimates of increased crude oil production range from an additional 130,000 to 3.3 million barrels on average per day until 2035.
After decades of generally falling U.S. crude oil production, from 2008 through 2014 production increased by about 74%. Perhaps, lifting the restrictions on crude oil could help both the economy of the U.S. and the average consumer.
 

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